Probability in chart event assessment

Probability is simply the likelihood of an event happening.

Probability theory is a field of mathematics and statistics that’s concerned with finding the probabilities associated with random events. It’s a way for people with a slightly odd mindset to study scientifically things that happen by chance. Like, what are your chances of winning a raffle in which 402 people have bought 1 ticket each.

The first known text that provided a systematic approach to probabilities was written in 1564 by Gerolamo Cardano (1501–1576) who was a physician, mathematician and astrologer.

From your personal perspective the issue of the likelihood of this or that happening is usually a matter of fantasy thinking.

So, you ask: What are my chances of being hit by lightning? Or, will I win the lottery? And you can try to assess the likelihood of the event occurring. If you rate the event as impossible it has zero probability. The higher your probability rating, the more likely it will occur.

Life is all about events but you’re not interested in the likelihood of your favorite slugger hitting a home run in the game you’re watching based on a statistical analysis of his previous games; and you’re not interested in knowing if your sister who is visiting will be early or late based on a statistical analysis of her previous visits.

You’re interested in the events mapped in your birth chart and by using a scale of 0 to 10 where O indicates the event has zero chance of occurring and 10 indicates it’s an absolute certainty you can quite precisely determine the likelihood of an indicated event occurring. At 5 the event is just as likely to occur as it’s not.

Fact-check: As you can only experience events mapped in your birth chart all other events (not mapped) are automatically eliminated.

Applying probability to your birth chart

Your birth chart allows you to know yourself. It allows you to learn about your not-conscious thought-cell activity and the events it’s inclined to desire and attract. Thought-cell activity has strength and functional status. It’s been conditioned by environment and operates in a changing local environment.

An event indicated in your chart is inclined to occur when a major progressed aspect to its astro-marker stimulates its thought-cell parent. But as you can change or modify your thought-cell activity and change or avoid your environment you should always rate the probability of a specified event occurring as uncertain. It is not inevitable.

That said, your birth chart does map events common to human souls that your environment facilitates but due to the strength of your thought-cell desires and your personal environmental circumstance indicated events have different levels of certainty. You can use the 0 to 10 scale to rate them as absolutely certain to extremely unlikely.

And keep in mind that environment stimulates thought-cell activity so abnormal environmental conditions like a war, pandemic or economic slowdown can stimulate sedate thought-cell activity which under normal circumstances has little chance of attracting a major life-changing event into doing just that.

Birth chart probabilities

A prominent Sun increases the likelihood for major events involving management, power, authority, leadership, pride and status.

A prominent Moon increases the chance of experiencing major events involving family life, the common people, children, the weak and helpless and music.

A prominent Mercury ups the likelihood for major events involving intellectual activity – learning, study, writing and communicating – and travel.

A prominent Venus increases the probability for major events involving social companionship, the giving and receiving of affection and artistic appreciation.

A prominent Mars ups the likelihood for major events involving strife, disputes, haste, accidents, daring, adventure and operations.

A prominent Jupiter increases the probability for major events involving religion, devotion, finance, selling, benevolence and goodwill.

A prominent Saturn ups the likelihood for major events involving anxiety, struggle, hard work, economy, responsibility, selfishness, disease and loss.

A prominent Uranus ups the probability for major events involving disruption and sudden, unexpected change through other people.

A prominent Neptune increases the likelihood for major events involving idealism, schemes, wishful thinking, deception and extrasensory perception.

And a prominent Pluto ups the probability for major events involving groups, cooperation, coercion and universal welfare.

Your birth chart does not map inevitable events but those associated with your prominent houses have a high probability of occurring.   

Major house 1 events affect you, your personality and health.

Major house 2 events affect your money and possessions.

Major house 3 events affect your private thoughts, education, studies, writing, siblings, neighbors and short journeys.

Major house 4 events involve your home, housing, real-estate interests and father.

Major house 5 events involve pleasure, leisure, your love-sex life, children, sport, entertainment, speculation and risk.

Major house 6 events involve work, your work place, work mates, employees, tenants, food, pets and sickness.

Major house 7 events involve marriage, your spouse, partnership, open enemies, competitors, law suits and the public.

Major house 8 events involve other people’s money, joint finances, loans, debts, death and the dead.

Major house 9 events involve philosophy, religion, long journeys, overseas trips, tourism, courts, teaching, lecturing, advertising and your partner’s family.   

Major house 10 events involve your profession, boss, superiors, business, honor, credit and mother.

Major house 11 events involve your friends and hopes.

And major house 12 events involve secrets, behind the scenes activity, isolation, restriction, hidden enemies, sorrow, disappointment, crime, hospitals, detention centers, jails and astral entities.

Fact-check: The prominent planets and houses in your birth chart map events that are highly probable.  

Mars and probability

Everyone has Mars – the planet of accidents – in their birth chart so everyone has a chance of experiencing an accident. The strength of Mars and its functional status measure the probability and the seriousness of the accident.

Real-life evidence reveals that some people have severe accidents, some rarely experience an accident and some are accident prone.

Your personal tendency is determined by the strength of Mars in your birth chart so the more active your aggressive Mars thought-cells the more likely you’ll experience an accident. Discord ups the probability of a serious accident.

Mars is the planet of shootings and Mars in your birth chart indicates your likelihood to experience this type of Mars event. Discord and environmental facilitation increase the probability.

Donald Trump with Mars in his birth chart in house 12 conjunction his ascendant has a very high probability of being shot and when progressed ascendant moved to form a semisquare aspect with birth chart Mars in July 2024 his aggressive Mars thought-cells attracted the event they desired. His local environment with an estimated 466 million guns and the average gun owning American possessing 5 firearms facilitated the event.

Mars is the planet of surgery and your likelihood to experience surgery is measured by its power in your birth chart. Discord ups the likelihood for unsuccessful surgery.  

Harmony and discord

Fact-check: Your birth chart maps fortunate and unfortunate events.

The planets and houses in your birth chart provide valuable information. Their harmony and discord scores reveal the functional status of your dynamic and common thought-cell activity and your likelihood to attract and experience fortunate and unfortunately events.

Harmonious thought-cell activity inclines to fortunate events and discordant thought-cell activity inclines to unfortunate events.

So, you’re chiefly concerned with your discordant thought-cell activity. It’s predisposed to attract major problems, stress and misfortune. Your character, intelligence and ability are being developed through pain.

Harmony aka pleasure and discord aka pain are what you feel. Harmony is preferred.


Author: DW Sutton

Astrology for Aquarius – sharing our knowledge

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